I’m rehashing the comment I left at Yglesias’ blog here, but based on the current political climate, I can’t imagine how Obama’s running mate won’t be one of two choices. Neither of them are my first choice personally, but every sense of logic indicates how necessary either of them would be.
Given that carrying Virginia will be a necessity for Obama, you have to go down all the available options there for one of Obama’s possible running mates. His first is Mark Warner, who is soundly a better choice for Obama than the equally-new Jim Webb or the “who the flying blue hell is Tim Kaine” Tim Kaine. The “problem” is Warner’s running for the open Virginia senate seat, to which I say, so what? Warner’s going to win that seat by a hoopatajillion points, and like Joe Lieberman in 2000 it’s so guaranteed for him that he can easily run for Veep at the same time and not lose a lot of face for it. Plus, if he wins, then Tim Kaine can appoint his Democratic replacement… given Kaine can’t run for a second term as governor, he’ll most likely appoint himself. Everyone wins, and we get a Vice-President in the guy who everyone expected two years ago to be the nominee in the first place.
The second choice is Joe Biden. And I’m honestly struggling to figure out why he wouldn’t be a perfect fit. Biden ties all the loose ends that hinder Obama’s campaign: he’s white. He’s a DC insider. He has more foreign policy experience than almost anyone in Washington. And fulfilling the standard role of the running mate, he’s the nasty attack dog who can levy attacks on the opposing ticket while Saint Barack stays high and dry.
But even more important, there’s another old issue at hand here. Biden, as you may recall, was the guy who got into a lot of trouble earlier on in the campaign for what were considered racially disparaging remarks about Obama. In what would almost be serendipitous irony, this is actually a major advantage on the PR level. Obama asking a man who previously took flak for offensive statements, and declaring that he is willing to see past that and work with him- I don’t think the significance of that needs to be explained at this point.